Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 1:05 PM, 248 voters in 31 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 204,888 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 183,911 - 232,854). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in the data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included in the above count. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 1:05 PM 2934 c(2.5% = 2519) c(97.5% = 3617)
02 1:05 PM 4637 c(2.5% = 4023) c(97.5% = 5567)
03 1:05 PM 2619 c(2.5% = 2396) c(97.5% = 3264)
04 1:05 PM 2627 c(2.5% = 2399) c(97.5% = 3201)
05 1:05 PM 6795 c(2.5% = 5939) c(97.5% = 8066)
06 1:05 PM 1784 c(2.5% = 1652) c(97.5% = 2180)
07 1:05 PM 1782 c(2.5% = 1500) c(97.5% = 2080)
08 1:05 PM 6332 c(2.5% = 5580) c(97.5% = 7537)
09 1:05 PM 2941 c(2.5% = 2631) c(97.5% = 3846)
10 1:05 PM 3818 c(2.5% = 3562) c(97.5% = 4931)
11 1:05 PM 1667 c(2.5% = 1525) c(97.5% = 2065)
12 1:05 PM 2888 c(2.5% = 2669) c(97.5% = 3611)
13 1:05 PM 2595 c(2.5% = 2389) c(97.5% = 3261)
14 1:05 PM 1151 c(2.5% = 1066) c(97.5% = 1368)
15 1:05 PM 3301 c(2.5% = 2892) c(97.5% = 4021)
16 1:05 PM 1395 c(2.5% = 1264) c(97.5% = 1654)
17 1:05 PM 3181 c(2.5% = 2923) c(97.5% = 3993)
18 1:05 PM 2900 c(2.5% = 2574) c(97.5% = 3380)
19 1:05 PM 1361 c(2.5% = 1163) c(97.5% = 1528)
20 1:05 PM 1325 c(2.5% = 1192) c(97.5% = 1492)
21 1:05 PM 7401 c(2.5% = 6512) c(97.5% = 8544)
22 1:05 PM 4031 c(2.5% = 3624) c(97.5% = 4960)
23 1:05 PM 2423 c(2.5% = 2157) c(97.5% = 2730)
24 1:05 PM 2091 c(2.5% = 1895) c(97.5% = 2390)
25 1:05 PM 1978 c(2.5% = 1727) c(97.5% = 2287)
26 1:05 PM 2845 c(2.5% = 2433) c(97.5% = 3216)
27 1:05 PM 3847 c(2.5% = 3186) c(97.5% = 4644)
28 1:05 PM 1484 c(2.5% = 1350) c(97.5% = 1794)
29 1:05 PM 1494 c(2.5% = 1358) c(97.5% = 1766)
30 1:05 PM 2937 c(2.5% = 2549) c(97.5% = 3683)
31 1:05 PM 2584 c(2.5% = 2154) c(97.5% = 3057)
32 1:05 PM 2489 c(2.5% = 2268) c(97.5% = 2897)
33 1:05 PM 2089 c(2.5% = 1818) c(97.5% = 2417)
34 1:05 PM 5466 c(2.5% = 5037) c(97.5% = 6578)
35 1:05 PM 3730 c(2.5% = 3337) c(97.5% = 4200)
36 1:05 PM 4515 c(2.5% = 4117) c(97.5% = 5249)
37 1:05 PM 1595 c(2.5% = 1441) c(97.5% = 1830)
38 1:05 PM 2724 c(2.5% = 2471) c(97.5% = 3169)
39 1:05 PM 5425 c(2.5% = 4696) c(97.5% = 6411)
40 1:05 PM 5786 c(2.5% = 5305) c(97.5% = 6585)
41 1:05 PM 2178 c(2.5% = 1874) c(97.5% = 2553)
42 1:05 PM 2894 c(2.5% = 2593) c(97.5% = 3254)
43 1:05 PM 2247 c(2.5% = 2008) c(97.5% = 2556)
44 1:05 PM 1767 c(2.5% = 1612) c(97.5% = 2142)
45 1:05 PM 2495 c(2.5% = 2174) c(97.5% = 2878)
46 1:05 PM 3381 c(2.5% = 3090) c(97.5% = 4166)
47 1:05 PM 1095 c(2.5% = 993) c(97.5% = 1247)
48 1:05 PM 2555 c(2.5% = 2323) c(97.5% = 2896)
49 1:05 PM 3228 c(2.5% = 3006) c(97.5% = 3876)
50 1:05 PM 4439 c(2.5% = 4101) c(97.5% = 5660)
51 1:05 PM 2872 c(2.5% = 2696) c(97.5% = 3609)
52 1:05 PM 3489 c(2.5% = 3205) c(97.5% = 4343)
53 1:05 PM 2501 c(2.5% = 2188) c(97.5% = 2851)
54 1:05 PM 1799 c(2.5% = 1577) c(97.5% = 2093)
55 1:05 PM 2829 c(2.5% = 2416) c(97.5% = 3323)
56 1:05 PM 4134 c(2.5% = 3536) c(97.5% = 4832)
57 1:05 PM 3632 c(2.5% = 3181) c(97.5% = 4169)
58 1:05 PM 6068 c(2.5% = 5253) c(97.5% = 6996)
59 1:05 PM 3088 c(2.5% = 2844) c(97.5% = 3783)
60 1:05 PM 2445 c(2.5% = 2254) c(97.5% = 3015)
61 1:05 PM 3835 c(2.5% = 3541) c(97.5% = 4437)
62 1:05 PM 2687 c(2.5% = 2343) c(97.5% = 3108)
63 1:05 PM 3427 c(2.5% = 2986) c(97.5% = 3972)
64 1:05 PM 1930 c(2.5% = 1659) c(97.5% = 2244)
65 1:05 PM 2865 c(2.5% = 2463) c(97.5% = 3320)
66 1:05 PM 6043 c(2.5% = 5284) c(97.5% = 6894)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:11 AM 3103 151
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
1:00 PM 0907 127
1:00 PM 0908 110
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions